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Prediction for CME (2015-01-12T15:36:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2015-01-12T15:36ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/7576/-1 CME was not detected at Earth. Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2015-01-14T19:00Z Prediction Method: Other (SIDC) Prediction Method Note: :Issued: 2015 Jan 13 0945 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/presto #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # FAST WARNING 'PRESTO' MESSAGE from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# A partial halo CME originating from NOAA AR 2261 was seen appearing first in LASCO-C2 at 15:36 UT on January 12. It is a faint CME with speed around 1000 km/s, that could have an Earth directed component with a possible predicted arrival on January 14 around 19:00 UT. There were two M class flares early today (M5.6 at 04:24 UT and M4.9 at 04:58 UT) from NOAA AR 2257. A possible associated CME will be confirmed later when the coronagraph data becomes available, but chances of an Earth encounter are minor due to the location of this AR close to the western limb. #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://www.sidc.be. Please do not reply # # directly to this message, but send comments and suggestions to # # 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use that address, use # # 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # # # # Legal notices: # # - Intellectual Property Rights: # # http://www.astro.oma.be/common/internet/en/data-policy-en.pdf # # - Liability Disclaimer: # # http://www.astro.oma.be/common/internet/en/disclaimer-en.pdf # # - Use and processing of your personal information: # # http://www.astro.oma.be/common/internet/en/privacy-policy-en.pdf # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#Lead Time: 33.25 hour(s) Difference: ----- Prediction submitted by Leila Mays (GSFC) on 2015-01-13T09:45Z |
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